What do people misunderstand most about self-driving vehicles?

Top Answer : We have really gone to the 18-20 games in terms of what technology can support in autonomous performance. Obviously, I stand to be corrected on a lot of this but most companies are very secretive in terms of how they formulate and publish metrics but we really are in the long tail situation now in terms of trying to drive. For example, if you take some metric like disengagements per mile, if you want to drive that down to a realistic value where you can actually operate a self-driving taxi fleet, your reliability has to be multiples in terms of performance and we’re just not there yet.  From my perspective, there has been huge strides in terms of what the general autonomous capabilities are of vehicles. But in terms of getting something that is truly at a service level, where the end consumer is not going to be frustrated–because their vehicle’s pulling up every single time they get into the car–that still is going to take some work.  I think the overall enthusiasm is still very high, but I just worry about how that’s going to translate over the coming years when, we attack the kind of “plateau of productivity” in terms of the Gartner hype cycle, in terms of actually delivering a product.

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We have really gone to the 18-20 games in terms of what technology can support in autonomous performance. Obviously, I stand to be corrected on a lot of this but most companies are very secretive in terms of how they formulate and publish metrics but we really are in the long tail situation now in terms of trying to drive. For example, if you take some metric like disengagements per mile, if you want to drive that down to a realistic value where you can actually operate a self-driving taxi fleet, your reliability has to be multiples in terms of performance and we’re just not there yet.  From my perspective, there has been huge strides in terms of what the general autonomous capabilities are of vehicles. But in terms of getting something that is truly at a service level, where the end consumer is not going to be frustrated–because their vehicle’s pulling up every single time they get into the car–that still is going to take some work.  I think the overall enthusiasm is still very high, but I just worry about how that’s going to translate over the coming years when, we attack the kind of “plateau of productivity” in terms of the Gartner hype cycle, in terms of actually delivering a product.
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